
Can American Hegemony be preserved?
Total Votes: 32
Is American power waning?
Total Votes: 31
If yes, above, why?
Total Votes: 25
Please vote yes if you read the article
Total Votes: 30
The headline has already probably raised a red flag somewhere. Some would deny the idea that there is an American hegemony, and some would question whether such a hegemony is worth preserving. To preempt the accusations of Neocon sympathy (one of their raisons d'etre is preserving the American hegemony) or anti-Americanism ( a term with elusive meaning) it is important to mention what this article explores and from which lens it is conceived.
America is the world's only superpower. It's might and reach is indubitable and the actions of American leaders and ordinary Americans touch life everywhere. Since the collapse of the Second World War, pax Americana has basically dictated the destinies of the free world, and following the collapse of the Soviet Bloc, the whole world.
America led the creation of the United Nations, directly influenced the boundaries of countries, and the alignment of whole geo-regions, and directly led to the creation of several new countries in Africa and Asia. America is extremely powerful and the American sway rules the world.
NATO remains the most important military force in the world with at least 53% of the world's spending on defence. Despite not having been formed by America, it was the presence of America's military might that made NATO the powerful force it continues to be.
Whole countries in Europe and elsewhere set up their whole countries to attract American capital or to receive American custom or American tourists.
America thoroughly dominates the world. It is this dominance and all the issues related to this that this article considers as American Hegemony. As to whether it should be preserved, the article will operate from two premises. The first is that American dominance is relatively benign. Since America came into ascendancy, we have seen democracy spread across the world, the end of Colonialism, the era of human rights and human universality, globalisation of means, the emergence of new nations and markets etc. The American era has been progressive.
The second premise of this article is that stability is important for global well-being. Since America came into ascendancy, there have been fewer major wars, and states have become much more rational in their use of military power when you consider the sheer volume of weapons and militaries that there are in our world of today.
Many in the world would prefer to have American hegemony, so defined, than say Chinese Hegemony. We saw what the British Empire wrought on the world. We saw what all the previous dominant powers wrought, and compared to that the American era seems rather um, progressive. This is the subject of another debate.
Given American power and the premises above, it is safe to prefer to keep American hegemony because another might be less benign and less stable. There are good arguments to be made for having a world organised by the effective leadership of a benevolent superpower, the most poignant being that there will then be one set of rules, and since the superpower is benevolent those rules are fair, and the whole system runs on inter-connectedness.
What are the sources of American power?
Military
America's defence industry has unbelievable productive power. It produces an amazing arsenal of destructive power. The American military machine has advantages in size, resources, technology, command, strategic direction and civil control that makes it by far the most efficient power of all time.
Alliances
NATO, the Marshall Plan, the United Nations and American-European interdependence has contributed in no small measure to America's power. By creating the West into one bloc, especially one bloc with so much wealth power, technology, people and history, America's power becomes magnified exponentially. When the President of the United States became the Leader of the freeworld, the freeworld came under the influence of the American spirit and mind. America became more powerful.
Economy
300 Million people with the kind of purchasing power that Americans have is a huge market. There is no nation or regional bloc that can ignore the United States or even be indifferent to it. The world might not be buying enough American goods, but they are buying many securities and assets, a piece of the American economic machine. The size, the depth, the liquidity and the sophistication of American capital markets is unmatched and people who want to do big things worldwide know exactly where to look. Wall Street rules. The American economy is so open that its interconnectedness with the rest of the world gives America an influence over the world that the world can not have over America.
Ideas
American innovation, American entrepreneurship and other American ideas have swayed ordinary people all over. The European Union might have emerged because the French and others sought to cooperate to keep Europe dominant, but it was the American idea that interconnectedness and cooperation trumps competition and separation, that gave birth to the first peaceful integration of great nations in documented world history. Human rights might not be an American idea, but it never became a human standard until it got force from American democracy and American leadership. America pretty much leads the world in ideas, and this is great power.
America itself
300 Million people in a free society, living in a system designed with great vision and humanity. How do you stop that? How do you compete with that? How do you prevent the march of a group of 300 million people empowered more than any other people elsewhere? A great part of American strength is its ability to inspire belief, loyalty and sacrifice from its own people and when this is done at the critical mass of 300 million, such strength becomes nearly infinite when seen in itself.
Give me your poor...
America said give me your poor and wretched... In reality, America took not the poor and wretched but the best of many many countries. The contribution of immigrants to the American story has been much overstated but remains much understated. America "robbed" Europe for example of many of its best and brightest for a very very long time. Many nations today still have their brightest citizens now living, working or integrated into America. This interconnectedness extends the positive part of America and sends its influence far and wide.
American Culture
This one is combination of two above, American ideas and America itself. The extra dimension which it takes that merits it a separate discussion is when it is projected externally. The whole world now speaks English partly because of the American era and its cultural dimension; MTV, CNN (who watches Fox outside America?), Hollywood, New York Times, Hip Hop, Music, "Jeans, Coca Cola and Bubble Gum" etc.
Protect the sources of American power and chances are that the American hegemony can be preserved. This also takes us to why the Bush Presidency has been such a disaster. It has weakened several of the sources of American power.
It has somewhat weakened the American military by misusing it to fight terror and to referee a civil war in Iraq. The world knows today that the American military is stretched, and that the American public, a moral and compassionate public like any other has a limited appetite, capacity and tolerance for military campaigns. This means that the American military has to be used to prosecute wars that are very clearly in American interests and used very sparingly. Militaries have many times more destructive power than they have constructive power, and this childish idea of using the military for constructive projects like the spread of democracy and the like is ridiculous. FDR's legacy in the world was the end of colonialism, and the spread of democracy and it was not military power that did that.
Bush has weakened America's engagement with the world. When Liberals talk about how America has alienated its allies, Conservatives, Neocons and American Nationalists retort with criticism of those allies and use it to ascribe weakness to such liberals. Forget Jack Bauer, the reality is that one individual is much weaker than 50. Conservatives used to mention that society and families evolved because people are stronger when they bunch together. America is weak and exposed when it stands alone. The Bush doctrine, the Kyoto debacle, The International Criminal Court controversy, Bush's attempt to revive star wars, His loud undermining of the United Nations and so many other events have limited the willingness of American allies to play with American rules. American rules are starting to no longer coincide with Western rules. The Bush Administration has undermined a big source of American power.
The view of America as a rational, moral actor has been undermined by Iraq. Mvelinder seeded an article this morning showing that 655,000 people have now died in Iraq. In the news recently, it was reported that 1 million bomblets left by American-supplied cluster bombs dropped by Israel remain in Lebanon. Last week George W. Bush signed a bill that would allow him significantly dictatorial powers, but also undermining human rights by allowing what America previously defined as torture, and undermining constitutional principles like checks on executive powers. That law weakened the American legal system by allowing retroactive application, removing habeas corpus and even removing substantially the right to trial. With this the Bush era has seen a weakening of American internal strength, that which derives from its system. More crucially it weakens the belief of Americans in their country. Conservatives might not get this but many people are very very deeply alarmed by some of these things, and are starting to doubt their own country. At least half of America does not buy the extremely divisive Bush agenda, which has radically trashed so much that was considered treasure, and if you think that does not weaken America somewhat one has to wonder what you consider strength. The notion of rational, moral America has suffered damage.
The American era is not over yet. China is not about to really rival America for a while and may never surpass the United States given that China will not have this diversity of power fonts for a long time unless a revolution gets rid of the Chinese Communist leadership, and changes the very fibre of the nation.
In the end, as Paul Kennedy explored in his great book, The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers: Economic Change and Military Conflict From 1500 to 2000, the decline of great nations is often precipitated from within by what he called imperial overstretch or the inability of a great power to sustain its military and economic commitments. What is happening now is a crooked variation of that phenomenon. It is not external commitments that are starting to undermine the United States, it is the weakening of its power from within in a misguided bid to expand its power outwards. It is about bad choices and it is grave.
good stuff.
i had to change some of my votes (pre-submit) because i thought at first you were referring to hegemony within american government.
i feel that bush has weakened america but that he wasnt the start of that weakening. i believe that an increasingly wrongheaded philosophy of corporate government or, fascism, if you will, led to the ability of bush to follow through on some of his worst ideas.
aside from that, i agree that his policies and approach to foreign policy are largely to blame.
but i dont see the relative peace of the cold war as a period of stability. rather, i see it as a time of intense but smaller warfare and intense separation of powers. as the empire subsided, they were replaced with violent instability and, to the extent that america's corporate interests and our govt's support/encouragement/involvement in those interests, we did not help build a stable world for the 21st century. this is the system that also allowed bush to take power and to exercise the extension of that power.
so i think we agree on nearly every point, just that our interpretation might be a bit different. but i appreciate this analysis and hope it gets votes.
If anyone question's America's hegemony, they are simply flat out wrong- we are the world hyperpower, hands down. That being said, America must utilize its hyperpower status for the world's good, and not use it to make the world its @!$%#.
I don't feel Americans are represented by this superpower. We have a corporate segment that takes for itself the liberties, the trade policies, the environmental sacrifices and economic benefit of policing, invading or crushing those who challenge their wealth or power and the government of the American people acts in their name. We're owned and operated but hardly spreading freedom here or abroad.
The biggest National "successes" are opening markets to new exploitation and profits. Freely elected governments, human rights, etc., aren't even on the list of things we protect. Americans get Star Spangled hype and the tab for corporate rule.
I am British and our culture has been hugely influenced by American culture, most things i watch on tv are American (i can watch fox but i don't, i watch CNN or BBC News) and most the brands i buy are American. I don't mind that and i don't mind American hegemony as long as it doesn't subvert other cultures and abuse others. I am now bothered by American hegemony because it is waning, its like a bird that i don't mind being near me but then as it gets scared it flaps about and maybe bashes into me (weird analogy but an accurate one) and that is whats happening to America. As it loses power it flaps about bombing such and such and doing the opposite of its people's peaceful intentions.
I believe what is best is a co-operative multi-polar world. One where the EU integrates further and acts as partner not a counterweight to disgree with everything the US does. One where India overtakes China (because India is democratic and free) and assumes the same role as the US and the EU and also a world where the UN is reformed and becomes stronger to regulate the actions of nations properly and effectively.
Before you even wrote this article, you should've considered reading Survival vs. Hegemony by Noam Chomsky.
All I know about the book is that it was supported by Hugo Chavez, and in effect was #1 on Amazon, but other than that I'm sorry that I can't elaborate on his ideas. But he's been a liberal most of his life, and has never supported a war in the last 55 years. You should try to derive your own ideas from the book before anything. That would at least make your article stand out a little bit more.
And yes, I do agree on all your ideas of hegemony and pax americana. The trouble is, most of America doesn't feel like putting in the energy of opposing something. They already oppose so much in everyday life.
A well written and researched piece. Bravo!
I have a few comments if I may. I have not taken the time to consider this reply too carefully, nor have I read all of your referenced articles, so forgive me if this appears a little lightweight. I considered a timely, ad hoc response, better than a thoroughly constructed and referentially supported piece in this instance as most of your argument is clearly above reproach.
The twentieth century is certainly the American century. Most of the global institutions of consequence are either the direct result of the pax Americana or are so strongly influenced by American involvement that they reflect the American value system more so than any other and so can be considered American by default. In the context of the past 100 years the US has no peer.
Let me address American Culture first.
I would question the rationale you use to persuade us that this American Hegemony is a good thing. Certainly the "cultural" gifts you mention that American society and artists have offered the world are worth looking at a little closer before we ascribe the term "cultural export" to any of them, I think.
MTV – The cultural significance of MTV can not be completely over looked I will grant. Wether we want this type of drivel infecting cultural expression is another discussion. I will point out though, that while this blight on popular and youth culture originated in the US it has now been localised into many different languages and tweaked to suit the specific market requirements of the countries or regions in which it is consumed.
MTV and American TV and film as a whole have little to do with art or culture as we once understood the words. They are commercial exercises. The only reason American television and film has appeal is because it is completely devoid of ideas that might challenge the audience and so impact the bottom line. "Snakes on a Plane" is a good case to illustrate the point. It was rewritten and re-shot at the behest of the studios on the foot of feed back form the test audiences. If you make exactly what the customer wants he will buy it. However, that is not artistic expression. It is consumer capitalism.
CNN - Journalistic integrity is the corner stone of any free society and is a plank upon which democracy rests. Cable news channels increasingly reflect the wishes of their corporate owners and so at the expense of the truth they will enable the peddling of their owner's wares. Here in Australia it is particularly evident but the Fox behemoth is also witnessed in the US so you know to which I speak. The Turner Empire is no different. It just shouts for the other team. In my humble opinion the BBC and the ABC (Australian Broadcasting Co.) are some of the only examples left of truly independent journalism.
To which, in the print and web media, I would ad the WSJ. Not because I feel it, as a paper, has any great love of the clear prism, but because it serves its readership well by providing accurate information which can then be applied to make money in the sophisticated markets you mention.
I have highlighted the three "institutions" above as an example from which the reader, I hope, can extrapolate. American culture is a contradiction in terms as the nation was built upon the backs of the immigrant and as such is a melting pot of many diverse cultures.
Truly American cultural achievements are rare. Jazz and Hip Hop music come to mind. The Hollywood musical at a stretch and Broadway plays before they are boiled down into a consumable commodity by the film industry.
The real gems you seem to have over looked. I suspect because of the intellectual frame work form which you are writing. I mean no disrespect here. You and I are products of our social environment and yours places a very high value on the dollar value when it comes to such things as art. The gems you have ignored, I think, belong to America's writers but they do not provide a strong contribution to the GDP and so do not warrant inclusion, perhaps.
A last note on the cultural aspects of your article, in my experience American society tends to know the price of everything and the value of nothing. If it can not or will not be bought and sold, regardless of its worth it, tends to matter little.
America itself requires some rebuttal also I think. Your indulgence, please.
You muse, "300 Million people in a free society, living in a system designed with great vision and humanity. How do you stop that? How do you compete with that? How do you prevent the march of a group of 300 million people empowered more than any other people elsewhere?"
In a world where the rest of the inhabitants do not feel threatened by it the answer is "you don't". You let them get on with it peacefully and productively in the hope that some day a society may evolve to rival, rather than challenge, those of Mesopotamia, Asia and Europe.
The collective output of the European nations, I would argue, far and away eclipses that of your young country every day of the week and twice on Sunday. Culture we have covered, I believe, but just so we have a frame work from which to expand allow me to drop some names in here, from the scientific, engineering, medical, and yes, cultural realms, at the risk of being rude.
In the sphere of automotive engineering to use a convenient example the efforts of our American cousins pale by comparison to those of Ferrari, Porsche, Aston Martin and Rolls, to name the first ones that come to mind. Cadillac, (named for a French man ironically) can only be considered as a childish parody when examined against the likes of Mercedes and BMW. That's before I go on speak about the majestic designs and patents of Toyota Motor Company's Lexus machines. Henry Ford did not make good cars. He made adequate cars cheaply. And that's about as much praise as can be applied to any of the other American car manufactures.
Pardon me for getting really vulgar in display for a moment while we consider Bugatti, Maserati, Lamborghiti Lotus, Land Rover, Audi and Jaguar. I know Ford own Jaguar now, but again, all they have succeeded in doing since the acquisition is to destroy the mystique of the marque.
Let's move on – Bang & Olufsen, Rolex, Leica, Mission, Krups, Airbus. In most if not all disciplines the European manufacturers excel in craftsmanship when compared to any other region of the world, with the exception in certain fields, of the Japanese.
So, let us pause and reflect upon the numbers and the geopolitics of the debate. The European Union is home to some 380 millions. By the time this century is half over it with reach form Galway in Ireland to the Baring Straights on the Russian coast and encompass well over 1 billion people comprising some 20 - 30 distinct ethnicities and languages. It will then have land access to the Middle Eastern oil fields and make the necessity of exporting oil to the United States a curse. Deprived of her access to cheap oil the US will slowly decay and become less and less of a global power.
In the 21st century, I propose, the US will continue to become less and less relevant to world affairs as her ability to coerce by military strength wanes and her ability to protect her life blood – oil goes with it.
America will not fail so much as fade. A child with whom we no longer are indulgent. That is not to say that the tantrums will not become louder and longer. They will just be seen as impotent and will no longer give the world cause for concern.
In your section on Ideas you cite the Global Good Neighbour Initiative piece which speaks about the proud legacy of American foreign policy from the early part of the last century. I have only one point to make on this line of reasoning and it might be seen by some readers as a "cheap shot".
America is infamously alone in being the only nation to have used atomic weapons on another country.
Even McNamara, whose ruthless efficiency in bombing gave a blazing death to 100,000 citizens of Tokyo, now laments the use of nuclear weapons. This perhaps may account for my scepticism when you speak of "Benevolent American Hegemony". Fear of destruction by a country shown to have so little regard for the sanctity of human life is what has allowed the US to plunder the riches of the world and so become completly dominant in the past 100 years.
Please note, I make the distinction between having WMD and using them. England, Russia, France, China and others all have them, but the world never feared they would use them. That was a paranoia endured only by Americans during the second half of the century, I would suggest because the American people thought the Russians were like them, where as the rest of the world knew them to be like us. We knew they would not pull the temple down on their own heads. To paraphrase Sting – The Russians loved their children too.
JFK would have followed through. Khrushchev was more human. Again, you cannot blame Kennedy for being a product of his society. I believe he would have done what he thought was expected of him in October of 1962. I believe he would have killed us all if Khrushchev had not prevailed by "backing down". The Bay of Pigs – well, I fear I will digress too far here so I will move to close.
I should say at this juncture that I am American by birth. I was born in California to Irish immigrants in the early '60's. However, I was educated and trained in Ireland and having lived for some time as an adult in the Bay Area, (I am a computer scientist and I wanted to spend some time playing with the biggest having played at home in Ireland with the best) I returned to Europe before settling in the "lucky country" , Australia.
I admire your style of prose and as I have said earlier your arguments are well constructed and properly referenced. You are clearly in possession of an agile mind and are to be commended for constructing a patriotic defence of your country's foreign policy.
However, I am perplexed by your stance. Current American foreign policy is to be condemned, I believe, by all right minded individuals. That's not to say it can not be changed. But it is people like you who must change it.
America is a great idea that once gave rise to a great nation.
Not withstanding the sum of the atrocities committed throughout its existence - from the genocide of its indigenous peoples to slavery, to nuclear war to New Orleans 2005 and Iraq ongoing it can be fixed, but only when the questions you have posed no longer matter.
Shibbolith -
Thanks for that. I thought this was a well-researched and very well written piece, but my objections were basically similar to your own. Oluseye, your "this is a good thing" argument is predicated on two fallacies, I think. The US is NOT benevolent - its foreign policy is dictated by corporate chiefs whose ONLY value is to make money. Nor is the US hegemony stable - as you point out, it's unsustainable.
This was otherwise a good piece and I'm glad I took the time to read it. Thanks to you as well.
Shibbolith-
The European Union is home to some 380 millions.
The EU actually has 455 million people now! since the 10 new members, 8 from Eastern Europe joined. I just thought i would mention a fact that back ups your argument nicely. Thats 155 million more than the US. In three months time it will be 480 million as 30 million more join from Romania and Bulgaria. By the time Turkey joins in 2015 there will be well over half a billion.
I'm a bit perplexed as to how you distinguish this from neoconservative thought. The basic tenet of neoconservatism is that, for all its faults (neo-cons come from socialist backgrounds and aren't too keen on capitalism, though they de-emphasis that), the progressive nature of the US and the rest of the West is far superior to that of the alternatives (mainly, the Soviet model they had hoped would turn out better). From this, they argue for a realpolitik support of the American system, which is then exaggerated to support for a Pax Americana. Aside from a few tactical differences (in which I think most neo-cons are actually more cogent), I just don't see a difference.
I also read the sequel article to this, where you seem to argue that America will not be able to achieve or maintain hegemony. I like that better, but there you don't seem to be arguing for a ideal to be pursued, so I'm not sure if you've given up on this idea here.
I wnat to point out that the Neocons don't own the idea of a world balanced on one pole of a benevolent power.
That's certainly true. Bertrand Russell (a normally more formidable thinker, and one who renounced this position later) argued against Britain entering WWII on the basis that any world government, even the Nazis, would eventually become more benevolent over time. I'll accept your distinction. Personally, I'm opposed to American hegemony, and I hope for policies that end American imperialism with dignity and grace rather than a spectacular flameout.
However, I'm sure you realize I have a problem with the claim that "Neocons, who have more or less been the singular influence on Bush Foreign policy." It is only because of Bush's views that he listens to others with similar views, so I think that's a rather unfair portrayal of neocon influence. It places blame for decisions on someone other than "the decider" in a very strange way. And when you get into details, neocons have lost out to other interests (including the oil industry) time and again. That's a bit off topic here, though...
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